Salty-Darkness
0x1b4d20a2ea26ebbe7be732530bd45364b6eb9316
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$31.43
Total PnL
$-1.07
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will JPMorgan Chase fail by June 30, 2026?
5 shares @ 98.0¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.08
$0.08
- NO
Will Deutsche Bank fail by June 30, 2026?
5 shares @ 97.4¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.07
$0.07
- NO
Will Goldman Sachs fail by June 30, 2026?
5 shares @ 98.3¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.04
$0.04
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
5 shares @ 90.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.38
$-0.13
- NO
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
5 shares @ 80.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$3.42
$-0.57
- NO
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
3 shares @ 93.3¢·now 90.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$2.91
$-0.09
- NO
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- NO
Will Jair Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- NO
Will Citigroup fail by June 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 97.8¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will UBS fail by June 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 97.8¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.01
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.00Feb 17, 00:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$4.00Feb 16, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jair Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.00Feb 16, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$4.50Feb 16, 15:02 UTC
- REDEEMAnother critical Cloudflare incident by January 31?$1.18Feb 15, 17:27 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?$1.25Jan 19, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Deutsche Bank fail by June 30, 2026?$4.00Jan 11, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Goldman Sachs fail by June 30, 2026?$5.00Jan 11, 23:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JPMorgan Chase fail by June 30, 2026?$5.00Jan 11, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Citigroup fail by June 30, 2026?$1.00Jan 11, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UBS fail by June 30, 2026?$1.00Jan 11, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Deutsche Bank fail by June 30, 2026?$1.00Jan 11, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother critical Cloudflare incident by January 31?$1.00Jan 11, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$1.00Jan 8, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$1.00Jan 8, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?$1.00Jan 8, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$2.00Jan 8, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.00Jan 8, 23:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $2.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 8, 23:09 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 17, 00:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".