Broken-Circumstance
0x1b79fbe2f9a502bba7b22f9777a4b4fcad193dff
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$254.87
Total PnL
$-70.43
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election?
257 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.4¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$254.87
$-0.13
- KNICKS
Thunder vs. Knicks
55 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-21.40
- NETS
Nets vs. Trail Blazers
51 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-5.10
- NETS
Nets vs. 76ers
40 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-9.60
- BUCKS
Bucks vs. Hawks
34 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-8.50
- ROCKETS
Rockets vs. Bulls
33 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-25.70
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election?$255.06May 17, 12:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 17, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$232.69May 16, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$233.06May 16, 03:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$227.76May 15, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$228.01May 14, 00:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?$227.75May 13, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?$228.01May 13, 13:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rick Caruso win the California Governor Election in 2026?$216.76May 13, 11:37 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 13, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rick Caruso win the California Governor Election in 2026?$217.01May 12, 23:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$259.64May 12, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$260.08May 12, 10:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Park Yong-jin win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$249.73May 12, 10:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 12, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Park Yong-jin win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$250.01May 11, 19:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$218.75May 11, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$219.01May 11, 10:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$254.59May 11, 10:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 11, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $244.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 1, 07:10 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 12:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".