0x1bddf4e97eda2100c1a626936943475b5a8d0b26
0x1bddf4e97eda2100c1a626936943475b5a8d0b26
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$7.1K
Total PnL
$-3.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
3403 shares @ 93.5¢·now 90.3¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$3.1K
$-107.71
- YES
Will Milena Moreira be in the top 3 of Big Brother Brasil 26?
2013 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$2.0K
$13.37
- NO
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
759 shares @ 88.2¢·now 84.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$641.16
$-28.19
- NO
Another US strike on Venezuela by March 31?
511 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$511.29
$11.29
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
649 shares @ 48.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$288.92
$-22.72
- NO
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
162 shares @ 92.5¢·now 96.8¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$156.99
$6.99
- NO
Khamenei seen in public by February 28?
120 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$119.55
$1.55
- NO
Will Trump talk to Kevin Hassett in February?
102 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$102.04
$2.04
- YES
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?
1240 shares @ 14.6¢·now 6.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$83.07
$-98.26
- NO
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
66 shares @ 80.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$45.51
$-7.64
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Milena Moreira be in the top 3 of Big Brother Brasil 26?$2.0KApr 20, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$151.31Mar 27, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$86.76Mar 27, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$2.0KMar 27, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$585.00Mar 27, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$346.00Mar 27, 00:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$10.0KMar 27, 00:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?$9.9KMar 27, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNP Paribas Open: Joao Fonseca vs Jannik Sinner$10.00Mar 11, 01:14 UTC
- REWARD$1.74Mar 2, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$143.70Mar 1, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$144.60Mar 1, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$2.26Mar 1, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$56.63Mar 1, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$14.55Mar 1, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$7.92Mar 1, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$4.60Mar 1, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$5.82Mar 1, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$2.57Mar 1, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$1.31Mar 1, 14:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $477.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 27, 17:25 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 20, 14:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".