Vital-Vision
0x1c147f2ecc502e1283e5d51d0352cbc386656342
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
33
Open notional
$5.6K
Total PnL
$-592.48
Realised
$-317.78
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- NO
Will Venezuela become 51st state?
1261 shares @ 95.7¢·now 95.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.2K
$-6.49
- NO
Will 60-79 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?
649 shares @ 98.9¢·now 96.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$623.44
$-18.56
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
507 shares @ 98.6¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$500.25
$0.25
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
539 shares @ 92.7¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$499.05
$-0.95
- NO
Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by June 30?
407 shares @ 98.3¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$396.82
$-3.18
- NO
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
409 shares @ 93.5¢·now 93.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$382.19
$-0.81
- YES
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
431 shares @ 92.7¢·now 88.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$379.66
$-20.34
- NO
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
309 shares @ 97.0¢·now 96.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$299.08
$-0.93
- NO
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
266 shares @ 96.7¢·now 96.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$256.61
$-0.40
- YES
Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2026?
287 shares @ 69.7¢·now 80.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$229.45
$29.45
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.07May 18, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$180.46May 17, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$3.01May 17, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$220.00May 17, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$100.00May 17, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$200.00May 17, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?$50.00May 17, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?$50.00May 17, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$200.52May 17, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$51.49May 17, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$51.27May 17, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?$200.00May 17, 14:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$1.3KMay 17, 02:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 17, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?$3.00May 16, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$80.00May 16, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$100.00May 16, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$1.2KMay 16, 22:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$853.29May 16, 22:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$17.36May 16, 22:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $248.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 23:02 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".