Improbable-Feature
0x1c335c7361bb791e180c3e17ad1308b1eebfab72
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
43
Open notional
$509.40
Total PnL
$-470.28
Realised
$-126.49
Win rate
0%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- YES
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in May?
2231 shares @ 6.9¢·now 7.1¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$158.15
$3.15
- YES
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in May?
789 shares @ 19.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$146.05
$-3.95
- YES
Iran nuclear test before 2027?
200 shares @ 10.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.00
$-3.00
- YES
Iran Nuke before 2027?
166 shares @ 9.0¢·now 9.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.69
$0.69
- YES
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
139 shares @ 14.4¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.81
$-8.19
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
236 shares @ 3.8¢·now 4.9¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$11.44
$2.44
- YES
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
64 shares @ 25.2¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.62
$-5.61
- YES
Will XRP dip to $1.20 in May?
50 shares @ 20.0¢·now 21.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$10.50
$0.50
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?
28 shares @ 36.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$10.42
$0.42
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
32 shares @ 43.5¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.92
$-3.78
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $1.20 in May?$10.56May 16, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $98 in May?$10.37May 16, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $62 in May?$10.39May 16, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,400 in May?$5.20May 16, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,000 in May?$10.38May 16, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in May?$5.18May 16, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in May?$154.86May 16, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in May?$103.66May 16, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?$10.39May 15, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in May?$31.08May 15, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran Nuke before 2027?$5.00May 14, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$2.00May 14, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran Nuke before 2027?$10.00May 14, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?$5.19May 13, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?$5.19May 13, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?$10.26May 13, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?$5.15May 13, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran nuclear test before 2027?$20.00May 13, 11:37 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$23.74May 13, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in May?$5.20May 13, 11:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $18.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 24, 12:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 21:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".