Fatherly-Victim
0x1c708b8f85d1b58970dd8a57385a19b1792c4c51
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
52
Open notional
$2.6K
Total PnL
$440.56
Realised
$184.14
Win rate
88%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 52- NO
GTA VI released before June 2026?
429 shares @ 96.5¢·now 99.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$426.64
$12.42
- YES
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
4000 shares @ 4.6¢·now 6.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$250.00
$66.00
- YES
Will Christian Menefee be the Democratic nominee for TX-18?
166 shares @ 5.5¢·now 88.6¢·exp May 26, 2026$147.11
$138.01
- NO
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
155 shares @ 85.1¢·now 92.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$142.60
$10.65
- YES
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
5000 shares @ 3.0¢·now 2.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$132.50
$-17.50
- YES
Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?
150 shares @ 76.5¢·now 83.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$124.08
$9.68
- NO
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
200 shares @ 59.5¢·now 60.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$121.00
$2.00
- NO
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?
119 shares @ 84.3¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$110.51
$9.81
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
116 shares @ 82.9¢·now 92.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$108.05
$11.46
- YES
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
5000 shares @ 2.1¢·now 2.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$107.00
$2.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.07May 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 17, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$59.00May 16, 18:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?$9.30May 16, 16:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?$23.25May 16, 16:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 16, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?$40.50May 15, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?$2.91May 15, 12:56 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 15, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?$95.00May 14, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?$12.69May 14, 11:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 14, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$60.00May 13, 20:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 13, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?$37.04May 12, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?$0.96May 12, 06:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 12, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?$6.10May 11, 18:54 UTC
- YIELD$0.08May 11, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLH.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?$18.40May 10, 05:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $19.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 2, 01:02 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".