Alive-Sandbar
0x1c99da848476e9d6ce83304b96a7b21107eeabaf
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
88
Open notional
$132.90
Total PnL
$-750.27
Realised
$17.73
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 88- NO
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?
538 shares @ 18.8¢·now 6.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$35.48
$-65.52
- YES
Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?
259 shares @ 22.1¢·now 13.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$33.63
$-23.66
- YES
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 20?
954 shares @ 2.8¢·now 3.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$29.10
$2.52
- YES
Will Starmer say "Apologize" or "Apology" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
17 shares @ 27.4¢·now 52.5¢·exp May 6, 2026$9.10
$4.35
- NO
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?
138 shares @ 22.4¢·now 5.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$7.59
$-23.39
- NO
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$7.50
$-2.50
- YES
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 19 be between 80 and 85?
648 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.6¢·exp May 22, 2026$3.89
$-13.20
- NO
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?
30 shares @ 34.9¢·now 9.3¢·exp May 19, 2026$2.79
$-7.68
- YES
Will Starmer say "Trump" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
10 shares @ 16.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp May 6, 2026$2.29
$0.73
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.5 released by May 31?$104.28May 18, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?$29.58May 17, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?$10.00May 17, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?$16.00May 17, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?$2.80May 17, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?$5.25May 17, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?$4.20May 17, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?$15.73May 17, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 19 be between 85 and 90?$1.05May 17, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 19 be between 80 and 85?$1.34May 17, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?$7.97May 16, 23:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 19 be between 80 and 85?$1.05May 16, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.2 be released on May 20?$2.08May 16, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets in May 2026?$1.05May 16, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump Insult Xi this week?$1.04May 16, 18:15 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?$0.24May 16, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?$26.00May 16, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?$7.56May 16, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 19 be between 80 and 85?$5.25May 16, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?$23.00May 16, 11:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $9.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 14:06 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 05:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".