Disastrous-Leaker
0x1ca8f5572b4591d531d3ea5b7cc125babd2fce2a
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$187.58
Total PnL
$-760.73
Realised
$17.08
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will Fannie Mae not IPO by June 30, 2026?
150 shares @ 50.0¢·now 96.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$145.20
$70.20
- NO
Will Freddie Mac not IPO by June 30, 2026?
850 shares @ 27.0¢·now 3.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$26.35
$-203.15
- NO
Israel parliament dissolved in 2025?
16 shares @ 62.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$16.03
$6.03
- NO
Thailand strikes Cambodia by Friday?
75154 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025$0.00
$-503.91
- YES
Israel strikes Syria by Friday?
435 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025$0.00
$-12.20
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal before August?
388 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 28, 3PM ET
290 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2025$0.00
$-20.30
- YES
Will Trump deport 1,250,000-1,500,000 people?
267 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Trump deport 1,000,000-1,250,000 people?
83 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?
77 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Freddie Mac not IPO by June 30, 2026?$84.79Jan 8, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Freddie Mac not IPO by June 30, 2026?$0.37Jan 6, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Freddie Mac not IPO by June 30, 2026?$17.82Jan 6, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Freddie Mac not IPO by June 30, 2026?$0.37Dec 6, 07:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump deport 500,000-750,000- people?$9.64Nov 2, 18:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Greta Thunberg enter Gaza by December 31?$26.48Oct 29, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Freddie Mac not IPO by June 30, 2026?$19.41Oct 27, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Freddie Mac not IPO by June 30, 2026?$106.73Oct 23, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fannie Mae not IPO by June 30, 2026?$75.00Oct 23, 00:17 UTC
- TRADESELLNothing Ever Happens: Conspiracy Edition$195.45Oct 23, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elizabeth Holmes launch a coin by December 31?$114.29Oct 22, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: Conspiracy Edition$200.00Oct 13, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greta Thunberg enter Gaza by December 31?$26.00Oct 13, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?$15.00Oct 13, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elizabeth Holmes launch a coin by December 31?$100.00Oct 13, 17:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?$9.93Oct 13, 17:23 UTC
- TRADESELL2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House$5.91Sep 9, 02:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roaring Kitty tweet again by December 31?$8.67Sep 9, 02:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$22.31Sep 9, 02:18 UTC
- TRADESELLXi Jinping out in 2025?$36.80Sep 9, 02:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $42.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 05:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 8, 13:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".