Lumpy-Accusation
0x1cdfec815b6fe5e4d9dd6720d1590e274149af83
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$441.98
Total PnL
$-726.22
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
3000 shares @ 10.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$195.00
$-105.00
- YES
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
2000 shares @ 18.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$170.00
$-190.00
- YES
US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?
669 shares @ 12.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$76.99
$-3.35
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
2000 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-240.00
- YES
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
274 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-41.08
- YES
Maduro mugshot released by January 9?
256 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
200 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-42.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 7?
20 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-4.80
Recent activity
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$0.00Feb 28, 15:47 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$3.0KFeb 28, 15:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Bitcoin" in January?$299.99Jan 28, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?$23.97Jan 14, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?$3.12Jan 14, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?$14.91Jan 14, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS national Ethereum reserve before 2027?$3.55Jan 13, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS national Ethereum reserve before 2027?$1.36Jan 13, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS national Ethereum reserve before 2027?$4.61Jan 13, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS national Ethereum reserve before 2027?$2.22Jan 13, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS national Ethereum reserve before 2027?$3.23Jan 13, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS national Ethereum reserve before 2027?$3.14Jan 13, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS national Ethereum reserve before 2027?$4.34Jan 13, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS national Ethereum reserve before 2027?$3.14Jan 13, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS national Ethereum reserve before 2027?$3.95Jan 13, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS national Ethereum reserve before 2027?$4.64Jan 13, 10:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS national Ethereum reserve before 2027?$2.73Jan 13, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS national Ethereum reserve before 2027?$6.41Jan 13, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS national Ethereum reserve before 2027?$2.05Jan 13, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS national Ethereum reserve before 2027?$1.77Jan 13, 10:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $16.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 5, 17:00 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 28, 15:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".