0x1ceaebf1d6ada39159780981aefbfdbe5a5c98ee
0x1ceaebf1d6ada39159780981aefbfdbe5a5c98ee
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
22
Open notional
$102.94
Total PnL
$-56.08
Realised
$-1.58
Win rate
20%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026?
2500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.75
$3.75
- YES
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026?
2430 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.37
$3.65
- YES
Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026?
2750 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.37
$1.37
- YES
Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026?
2371 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.67
$1.27
- YES
Will Carlos Felipe Córdoba win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$7.50
$-2.50
- YES
Will the Progressive Party (PP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?
4570 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$6.86
$-2.29
- YES
Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
1805 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.32
$0.90
- YES
Will Lee Kwang-jae win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?
3601 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$5.40
$-2.76
- YES
Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
3333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$5.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Luis Gilberto Murillo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
2940 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$4.41
$-1.47
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Green Party (MP) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?$0.27May 17, 23:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Green Party (MP) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?$0.03May 17, 23:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Green Party (MP) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?$0.22May 17, 23:09 UTC
- REDEEMSouthampton FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 2.5$11.01May 14, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $95 on May 14?$2.76May 14, 14:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Solana reach $100 on May 13?$1.01May 13, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $100 on May 13?$0.82May 13, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYSouthampton FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 2.5$11.00May 12, 21:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6PM ET$0.00May 12, 06:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $90 on May 8?$0.00May 12, 06:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $85 on May 8?$1.76May 12, 06:52 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$0.00May 12, 06:52 UTC
- REDEEMAthletics vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5$0.00May 12, 06:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $216 in May?$0.00May 12, 06:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $2,500 May 4-10?$0.00May 12, 06:52 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6PM ET$0.00May 12, 06:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $90 on May 8?$0.00May 12, 06:52 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$11.11May 12, 06:51 UTC
- REDEEMAthletics vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5$11.11May 12, 06:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $216 in May?$0.00May 12, 06:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $3.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 8, 18:03 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 23:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".