Formal-Catalogue
0x1d6d6b39a4ee425ebc511d1dbafe5098a2aef2b4
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$1.9K
Total PnL
$-387.88
Realised
$-12.96
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
800 shares @ 58.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$740.00
$276.00
- NO
Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?
515 shares @ 39.9¢·now 62.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$321.96
$116.21
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by May 31?
350 shares @ 79.0¢·now 91.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$318.50
$42.00
- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
300 shares @ 50.0¢·now 70.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$212.70
$62.70
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?
180 shares @ 60.0¢·now 85.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$153.00
$45.00
- YES
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
500 shares @ 9.0¢·now 22.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$110.00
$65.00
- NO
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
500 shares @ 13.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$67.50
$2.50
- YES
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
200 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$1.30
$-32.70
- YES
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?
2099 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- PANATHINAIKOS
Valencia vs. Panathinaikos
892 shares @ 15.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-140.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Ludvig Aberg finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 PGA Championship?$85.00May 18, 04:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aldrich Potgieter win the 2026 PGA Championship?$1.79May 15, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aldrich Potgieter win the 2026 PGA Championship?$2.81May 15, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aldrich Potgieter win the 2026 PGA Championship?$5.00May 15, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aldrich Potgieter win the 2026 PGA Championship?$10.29May 15, 19:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jason Day win the 2026 PGA Championship?$4.06May 15, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jason Day win the 2026 PGA Championship?$1.79May 15, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ludvig Aberg finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 PGA Championship?$17.20May 15, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ludvig Aberg finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 PGA Championship?$1.02May 15, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jason Day win the 2026 PGA Championship?$15.12May 15, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cameron Young win the 2026 PGA Championship?$24.76May 15, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYValencia vs. Panathinaikos$41.07May 13, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYValencia vs. Panathinaikos$51.23May 13, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYValencia vs. Panathinaikos$51.20May 13, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Rodynske again by May 31?$200.74May 13, 16:52 UTC
- REWARD$1.22May 12, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?$198.00May 11, 19:37 UTC
- REWARD$2.02May 11, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Rodynske again by May 31?$31.60May 10, 01:56 UTC
- REWARD$1.22May 10, 00:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $54.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 24, 15:58 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 04:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".