0x1d77fa6fdb46e7306b6165f7d412159f207cfdbe
0x1d77fa6fdb46e7306b6165f7d412159f207cfdbe
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
129
Open notional
$6.4K
Total PnL
$-2.2K
Realised
$354.00
Win rate
77%
26 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 129- NO
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?
600 shares @ 84.2¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$518.99
$14.00
- NO
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
599 shares @ 79.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$386.05
$-86.68
- NO
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?
833 shares @ 64.1¢·now 42.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$353.84
$-179.83
- NO
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?
354 shares @ 86.3¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$306.60
$0.77
- NO
Will Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
349 shares @ 86.4¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$294.79
$-6.74
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?
300 shares @ 80.0¢·now 96.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$289.65
$49.65
- YES
Will Kylian Mbappe be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?
269 shares @ 79.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp May 30, 2026$268.13
$55.49
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
300 shares @ 60.6¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$265.10
$83.62
- YES
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
35000 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$262.50
$52.50
- NO
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
200 shares @ 96.6¢·now 96.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$193.10
$-0.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$17.14May 18, 10:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?$15.15May 18, 08:55 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$88.72May 18, 08:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no listed leader be out before 2027?$27.72May 18, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no listed leader be out before 2027?$98.50May 18, 07:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.12May 18, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$70.00May 17, 19:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Juventus finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?$20.46May 17, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Roma finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?$7.83May 17, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYEvo Morales arrested by May 31$8.11May 17, 10:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYEvo Morales arrested by May 31$8.11May 17, 10:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Australia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$20.00May 17, 07:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Poland come in 2nd place at Eurovision 2026?$50.00May 17, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.89May 17, 06:44 UTC
- YIELD$0.12May 17, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.16May 16, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.16May 16, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.16May 16, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.16May 16, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?$82.00May 16, 20:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $18.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 02:37 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 10:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 26 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".