Quick-Behaviour
0x1d8c256b15d3cd1f5db221e70c77f552eb8d757a
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$1.5K
Total PnL
$2.0K
Realised
$1.5K
Win rate
85%
85 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?
1259 shares @ -0.1¢·now 93.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$1.2K
$1.2K
- YES
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1592 shares @ 0.0¢·now 5.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$82.01
$81.51
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?
865 shares @ 9.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$73.53
$-4.32
- YES
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1960 shares @ 0.0¢·now 1.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$28.41
$27.86
- YES
Will Yang Hyang-ja win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?
998 shares @ 0.0¢·now 2.4¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$23.95
$23.84
- YES
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
6056 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.4¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$21.20
$15.60
- YES
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1635 shares @ 0.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$18.80
$18.34
- YES
Will Grigor Dimitrov win the 2026 Australian Open?
18229 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$9.11
$8.73
- YES
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
6056 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$9.08
$3.49
- YES
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1623 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$8.93
$8.47
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?$4.81May 15, 14:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?$0.36May 15, 13:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?$0.86May 15, 12:43 UTC
- CONVERSIONOklahoma Governor Election Winner$5.00May 15, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?$4.66May 15, 10:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?$1.50May 15, 10:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?$0.77May 15, 09:56 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 13, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Warren Buffett be 2nd richest person on December 31?$19.93May 12, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jensen Huang be 2nd richest person on December 31?$19.95May 12, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Steve Ballmer be 2nd richest person on December 31?$19.95May 12, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Larry Ellison be 2nd richest person on December 31?$19.77May 12, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk be 2nd richest person on December 31?$19.15May 12, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Larry Page be 2nd richest person on December 31?$14.08May 12, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be 2,700,000 voters or greater?$23.93May 12, 20:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $10.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 21:01 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 85 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".