Sad-Force
0x1d8f592616531b95f8784953f222c3df5b1b09e9
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$9.0K
Total PnL
$-2.6K
Realised
$8.94
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?
7937 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$7.9K
$3.97
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?
500 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$498.75
$0.75
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?
500 shares @ 90.4¢·now 82.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$413.74
$-38.25
- NO
Will BNB reach $1,100 in May?
100 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$99.85
$0.05
- NO
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 94.0¢·now 91.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$91.70
$-2.30
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?
5000 shares @ 50.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.5K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down on February 7?
100 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.20
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
31 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-9.88
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
20 shares @ 55.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-11.12
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
13 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-9.91
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$7.9KMay 16, 03:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$7.9KMay 15, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$7.9KMay 14, 17:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?$7.9KMay 13, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?$6.6KMay 13, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?$1.3KMay 13, 14:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$7.9KMay 12, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$1.4KMay 12, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$24.82May 12, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$24.82May 12, 03:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$24.82May 12, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$3.6KMay 12, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$2.8KMay 12, 03:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $94,000 May 4-10?$871.25May 11, 06:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$129.00May 8, 20:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill CZ post 120-139 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$3.6KMay 8, 20:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill CZ post 140-159 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$3.3KMay 8, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$128.02May 8, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $94,000 May 4-10?$870.44May 7, 16:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CZ post 80-99 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$957.46May 7, 10:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $2.4K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 30, 04:06 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 03:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".