Courteous-Fireplace
0x1dfd4d823a8811fd6326e1e6ba5261973554946b
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
81
Open notional
$3.0K
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$-22.63
Win rate
61%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 81- NO
Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31?
1327 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.3K
$14.36
- EASTERN ILLINOIS PANTHERS
Blackburn Beavers vs. Eastern Illinois Panthers
815 shares @ 79.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$815.00
$163.81
- EC JUVENTUDE
Spread: Ceará SC (-2.5)
1042 shares @ 50.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$521.00
$0.00
- NO
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?
280 shares @ 87.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$280.00
$33.88
- YES
Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top 10?
228 shares @ 16.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$49.02
$12.54
- NO
Will Bernie endorse Kshama Sawant for WA-09 by Nov 2 2026 ET?
13 shares @ 60.0¢·now 71.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2026$9.23
$1.43
- NO
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?
4 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$4.00
$1.64
- NO
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
4 shares @ 90.0¢·now 99.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.96
$0.36
- NO
Will Pacifica launch a token by March 31 2026?
1 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.00
$0.14
- NO
Will Pacifica launch a token by June 30 2026?
1 shares @ 44.0¢·now 97.7¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.98
$0.54
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during April press conference?$85.00Apr 21, 08:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during April press conference?$171.00Apr 21, 08:42 UTC
- TRADESELLCelonis IPO before 2027?$290.47Apr 21, 03:49 UTC
- TRADESELLCelonis IPO before 2027?$20.77Apr 21, 03:49 UTC
- TRADESELLCelonis IPO before 2027?$305.66Apr 21, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during April press conference?$123.12Apr 13, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during April press conference?$61.20Apr 13, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYCelonis IPO before 2027?$130.52Apr 13, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYCelonis IPO before 2027?$128.18Apr 13, 18:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?$506.91Apr 13, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?$523.99Apr 13, 05:51 UTC
- TRADESELLEpic Games IPO before 2027?$401.60Apr 13, 04:35 UTC
- TRADESELLEpic Games IPO before 2027?$368.80Apr 13, 04:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?$142.04Apr 13, 04:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?$304.84Apr 13, 03:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "The Faces of Death" score at least 68 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$304.85Apr 11, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?$481.04Apr 10, 19:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during April press conference?$91.00Apr 9, 22:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during April press conference?$86.19Apr 9, 22:38 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?$25.28Apr 9, 13:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $202.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 30, 06:03 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 21, 08:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".