Mild-Embellishment
0x1e3e294758c7d4b42d84968d395383f305f8ce36
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
81
Open notional
$6.27
Total PnL
$-838.48
Realised
$49.43
Win rate
78%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 81- NO
Will Starmer say "Opposition" or "Opposite" 5+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
6 shares @ 60.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp May 6, 2026$3.50
$-0.03
- YES
Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 30+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
17 shares @ 28.3¢·now 16.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$2.77
$-2.13
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 56-57°F on May 13?
262 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-13.11
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on May 13?
192 shares @ 11.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-22.66
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
167 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
114 shares @ 41.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-47.44
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
111 shares @ 38.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-42.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
100 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-45.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$6.35May 17, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$5.22May 17, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$1.09May 16, 20:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$0.00May 16, 19:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$33.99May 16, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$20.59May 16, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$20.66May 16, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$2.12May 16, 18:57 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$15.37May 16, 18:56 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$40.44May 16, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$20.63May 16, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$20.76May 16, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$46.73May 16, 18:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$0.00May 16, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$77.57May 16, 18:35 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$35.37May 16, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$21.02May 16, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$20.68May 16, 18:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$38.93May 16, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$20.74May 16, 18:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $28.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 13:40 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 07:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".