Scornful-Conductor
0x1e82e3eb816aaf755ac9b44bc9d98f01b08aaf92
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$142.66
Total PnL
$-44.6K
Realised
$-3.4K
Win rate
23%
111 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Mario Vizcarra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
12987 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$6.49
$7.56
- YES
Will Roberto Chiabra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
12729 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$6.36
$7.20
- YES
Will Enrique Valderrama win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
12729 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$6.36
$7.20
- YES
Will José Williams win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
12417 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$6.21
$6.93
- YES
Will Fiorella Molinelli win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
11896 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$5.95
$6.48
- YES
Will Vladimir Cerrón win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
11896 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$5.95
$6.48
- YES
Will Rafael Belaúnde Llosa win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
11896 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$5.95
$6.48
- YES
Will Mesías Guevara win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
11746 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$5.87
$6.72
- YES
Will Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
11166 shares @ -0.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$5.58
$7.21
- YES
Will José Luna win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
10496 shares @ -0.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$5.25
$8.78
Recent activity
- REWARD$0.48May 18, 10:17 UTC
- REWARD$0.84May 18, 10:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rafael López Aliaga win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by between 5% and 10%?$0.17May 17, 20:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 5.2% and 5.5%?$0.03May 17, 12:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US strike 12 countries in 2026?$0.05May 17, 12:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Achraf Hakimi record the most assists in the 2025-26 UEFA Champions League?$0.01May 17, 12:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?$0.06May 17, 12:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy?$0.06May 17, 12:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?$0.07May 17, 12:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Darryn Peterson be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?$0.09May 17, 12:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's public ticker be $X?$0.07May 17, 12:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Maxx Crosby play for Houston Texans next?$0.02May 17, 12:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Yoo Young-ha win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?$0.10May 17, 12:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill DeepSeek have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$0.10May 17, 12:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Freiburg win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?$0.10May 17, 12:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?$0.09May 17, 12:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$0.62May 17, 12:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?$0.75May 17, 12:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2026?$0.33May 17, 12:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%?$0.75May 17, 12:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $0.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 10:38 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 10:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 111 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".