Lighthearted-Living
0x1ea04ab149f5f9aa1ba58dbd5f7a7c6a90932b20
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$26.35
Total PnL
$5.13
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
US Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30?
20 shares @ 50.0¢·now 79.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$15.94
$5.94
- NO
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?
10 shares @ 76.0¢·now 67.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.70
$-0.90
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
10 shares @ 9.0¢·now 7.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.71
$-0.19
- YES
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by May 31?
5 shares @ 14.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.47
$-0.23
- YES
Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by May 31?
10 shares @ 5.1¢·now 4.6¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.46
$-0.05
- YES
Will SpaceX have exactly 9 launches in May?
5 shares @ 3.0¢·now 9.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.45
$0.30
- NO
Over 4 coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100?
1 shares @ 10.0¢·now 40.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.42
$0.31
- YES
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
5 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.04
$-0.01
- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?
5 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.04
$-0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?$0.01May 18, 09:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$2.40May 18, 09:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX have exactly 10 launches in May?$1.00May 18, 08:33 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$0.60May 17, 02:00 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$1.00May 17, 01:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 38°C on May 12?$0.00May 16, 16:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on May 12?$0.00May 16, 16:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on May 12?$0.00May 16, 16:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on May 12?$0.00May 16, 16:48 UTC
- REDEEMValorant: Team Heretics vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs$0.00May 16, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: Team Heretics vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs$0.10May 15, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be $MARS?$0.01May 15, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?$0.05May 15, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?$0.03May 15, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be $SX?$0.03May 15, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.04May 15, 17:57 UTC
- TRADESELLValorant: FUT Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs$3.17May 15, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: FUT Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs$0.72May 15, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: FUT Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs$1.08May 15, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have exactly 10 launches in May?$0.15May 13, 03:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $0.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 05:28 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 09:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".