Grumpy-Eel
0x1ecad2f212a52f111be4106340eea448634a3a06
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$1.4K
Total PnL
$58.59
Realised
$2.51
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
490 shares @ 96.2¢·now 97.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$478.48
$7.24
- YES
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?
317 shares @ 85.8¢·now 93.5¢·exp Sep 6, 2026$296.58
$24.29
- YES
Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?
262 shares @ 87.7¢·now 92.5¢·exp Sep 6, 2026$242.31
$12.50
- NO
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
160 shares @ 97.1¢·now 99.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$158.48
$3.08
- NO
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
80 shares @ 79.5¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$68.40
$4.80
- NO
Will FDP win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?
50 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp Sep 6, 2026$49.88
$0.38
- NO
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?
40 shares @ 94.1¢·now 99.8¢·exp Sep 6, 2026$39.90
$2.26
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
20 shares @ 92.8¢·now 92.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.57
$0.00
- NO
Will Trump and Putin meet next in South Korea?
3 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.86
$1.00
- NO
Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026?
3 shares @ 65.6¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.41
$0.54
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.07May 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 15, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$9.26May 14, 17:51 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 14, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?$2.50May 13, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?$4.35May 13, 04:49 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 12, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GameStop acquire eBay?$23.40May 11, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GameStop acquire eBay?$7.98May 11, 18:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 11, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GameStop acquire eBay?$12.10May 10, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GameStop acquire eBay?$3.90May 10, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GameStop acquire eBay?$8.10May 10, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GameStop acquire eBay?$8.27May 10, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$9.34May 10, 17:42 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 10, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 9, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $19.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 24, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".