Flickering-Circadian
0x1ecc91dbd13963efbaa305262a23164c68eb53a9
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
73
Open notional
$25.4K
Total PnL
$3.0K
Realised
$22.25
Win rate
56%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 73- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
19400 shares @ 81.5¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$18.5K
$2.7K
- YES
Will Zach Werenski win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy?
1410 shares @ 71.6¢·now 83.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.2K
$172.15
- YES
Will Connor McDavid win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?
2331 shares @ 55.9¢·now 49.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.2K
$-145.33
- YES
Will "My Hero Academia FINAL SEASON" win Anime of the Year at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?
1043 shares @ 69.6¢·now 72.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$751.27
$25.39
- YES
Will Rhoda Magbitang win Top Chef Season 23?
808 shares @ 64.3¢·now 89.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$726.28
$206.51
- NO
Will Nikita Kucherov win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?
636 shares @ 68.3¢·now 75.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$479.39
$44.89
- YES
Will "Liberation" win Best Play at the 2026 Tony Awards?
418 shares @ 75.3¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$348.98
$34.42
- YES
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
453 shares @ 58.8¢·now 58.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$264.54
$-1.58
- YES
Will Lindy Ruff win the 2025–2026 NHL Jack Adams Award?
272 shares @ 60.7¢·now 89.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$242.95
$77.73
- YES
Will Andrei Vasilevskiy win the 2025–2026 NHL Vezina Trophy?
257 shares @ 56.7¢·now 91.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$236.13
$90.26
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$270.51May 18, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "DIGIMON BEATBREAK" win Best Original Anime at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?$0.96May 17, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Mobile Suit Gundam GQuuuuuuX" win Best Original Anime at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?$0.91May 17, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "DIGIMON BEATBREAK" win Best Original Anime at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?$0.03May 17, 05:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Unchosen" be the top US Netflix show this week?$0.00May 16, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Unchosen" be the top global Netflix show this week?$0.00May 16, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Running Point: Season 2" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?$0.00May 16, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jack Eichel win the 2025–2026 NHL Frank J. Selke Trophy?$0.00May 16, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Scott Arniel win the 2025–2026 NHL Jack Adams Award?$0.00May 16, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jared Bednar win the 2025–2026 NHL Jack Adams Award?$0.00May 16, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bruce Cassidy win the 2025–2026 NHL Jack Adams Award?$0.00May 16, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paul Maurice win the 2025–2026 NHL Jack Adams Award?$0.00May 16, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rick Tocchet win the 2025–2026 NHL Jack Adams Award?$0.00May 16, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sheldon Keefe win the 2025–2026 NHL Jack Adams Award?$0.00May 16, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ryan Warsofsky win the 2025–2026 NHL Jack Adams Award?$0.00May 16, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Glen Gulutzan win the 2025–2026 NHL Jack Adams Award?$0.00May 16, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Craig Berube win the 2025–2026 NHL Jack Adams Award?$0.00May 16, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Adam Foote win the 2025–2026 NHL Jack Adams Award?$0.00May 16, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ryan Huska win the 2025–2026 NHL Jack Adams Award?$0.00May 16, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mike Sullivan win the 2025–2026 NHL Jack Adams Award?$0.00May 16, 00:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 4
- Avg trade size
- $68.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 00:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 01:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".