Chubby-Violin
0x1ed115ce39f502697674390e40a2457613666d66
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
43
Open notional
$992.50
Total PnL
$-457.37
Realised
$-38.27
Win rate
42%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
105 shares @ 44.0¢·now 97.8¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$102.64
$56.44
- YES
Will Tempo launch a token by December 31 2026?
395 shares @ 55.4¢·now 25.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$100.72
$-118.30
- NO
Will Silver (SI) settle at >$115 in June?
105 shares @ 71.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$97.65
$23.10
- NO
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?
110 shares @ 66.2¢·now 68.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$75.13
$2.28
- NO
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
210 shares @ 47.5¢·now 32.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$68.25
$-31.57
- NO
Will Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2026?
105 shares @ 36.3¢·now 64.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$67.20
$29.10
- NO
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
80 shares @ 50.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$66.00
$26.00
- NO
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?
156 shares @ 50.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$63.18
$-14.82
- NO
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
60 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$60.00
$30.00
- YES
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
474 shares @ 14.9¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$40.29
$-30.26
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 9, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 8, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 7, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 5, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$20.00Apr 28, 03:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pure Storage (PSTG) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?$30.00Apr 28, 03:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?$40.18Apr 28, 03:29 UTC
- REDEEMEdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?$60.00Apr 28, 03:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?$149.80Apr 28, 03:29 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 6, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $10.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 16, 08:38 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".