Cavernous-Threat
0x1f275fa02b91485f2a0a1e20aa0a21ef43b1bf7f
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
58
Open notional
$58.54
Total PnL
$-45.00
Realised
$2.95
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 58- YES
Will Donald Trump announce Ted Cruz as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.50
$7.50
- NO
Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)
9 shares @ 54.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp May 17, 2026$8.47
$3.47
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce Jay Clayton as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.50
$3.50
- YES
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
14 shares @ 35.0¢·now 27.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.86
$-1.14
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce Jeanine Pirro as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?
77 shares @ 1.3¢·now 3.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.81
$1.81
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 13.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.29
$1.29
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce Ron DeSantis as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?
35 shares @ 5.7¢·now 5.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce Mike Lee as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.75
$0.75
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce Jeff Clark as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.50
$0.50
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
5 shares @ 21.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.50
$0.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$2.02May 14, 19:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on May 14?$2.04May 14, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03May 14, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03May 14, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03May 14, 17:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce Matt Gaetz as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?$3.32May 14, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 15?$1.04May 14, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?$1.00May 14, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$1.00May 14, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$1.00May 14, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$1.00May 14, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.03May 14, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$5.19May 14, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Tanker" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.03May 13, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m?$1.03May 13, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi handshake last 6–10 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$1.03May 13, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi handshake last 2–6 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$1.04May 13, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?$1.03May 13, 14:08 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage$7.94May 11, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage$5.06May 10, 17:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $2.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 20:34 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 19:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".