Starchy-Promise
0x1f7d9afcc84901d4cc99cf33a84b5854cf8ba315
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
46
Open notional
$53.28
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$56.57
Win rate
57%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- NO
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
28 shares @ 70.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$16.94
$-2.66
- NO
Will Edna DeVries advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?
17 shares @ 86.0¢·now 95.4¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$16.12
$1.59
- YES
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
55 shares @ 62.2¢·now 29.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$15.95
$-18.24
- NO
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
4 shares @ 79.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$1.78
$-1.38
- NO
Will Tempo launch a token by December 31 2026?
2 shares @ 49.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.49
$0.51
- YES
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win more than 43.5 regular season games in 2025–26?
1 shares @ 40.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$1.00
$0.60
- OLE MISS REBELS
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Ole Miss Rebels
608 shares @ 79.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-485.18
- AL KHOLOOD SAUDI CLUB
Spread: Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club (-2.5)
400 shares @ 85.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-340.00
- NO
Will Albin Kurti be the next Prime Minister of Kosovo?
306 shares @ 82.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 28, 2025$0.00
$-253.67
- YES
Trump announces new drug boat strike by March 7, 2026?
252 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-32.76
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?$1.0KApr 21, 02:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?$382.36Apr 11, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?$566.12Apr 11, 01:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?$206.64Apr 9, 10:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?$398.16Apr 9, 10:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?$342.72Apr 9, 10:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Polymarket mindshare hit 90%?$1.00Apr 7, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?$190.40Mar 30, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?$147.00Mar 30, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?$189.00Mar 30, 00:17 UTC
- TRADESELLCambria FDV above $30M one day after launch?$525.92Mar 26, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYCambria FDV above $30M one day after launch?$532.84Mar 25, 04:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alvin Kamara be traded?$323.68Mar 24, 07:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alvin Kamara be traded?$209.53Mar 24, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alvin Kamara be traded?$616.99Mar 23, 01:12 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?$273.06Mar 22, 02:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the May Meeting?$277.86Mar 21, 19:42 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?$58.65Mar 21, 19:21 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?$7.48Mar 21, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?$283.65Mar 20, 09:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $265.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 12, 01:04 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 21, 02:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".