Gracious-Stamp
0x1fb258561292916ad997f52d8c00fb75e7a4061e
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
77
Open notional
$70.68
Total PnL
$-77.31
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 77- YES
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by June 30?
530 shares @ 5.8¢·now 1.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.07
$-20.93
- YES
Will Iván Archivaldo Guzmán Salazar be arrested in 2026?
11 shares @ 9.5¢·now 53.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$5.59
$4.59
- YES
US strike on Mexico by December 31?
25 shares @ 24.1¢·now 18.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.48
$-1.52
- YES
Will Hugo Gonzalo Mendoza Gaytan be arrested in 2026?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 37.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$3.08
$2.08
- YES
Will Juan Reyes Mejía González be arrested in 2026?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$2.42
$1.42
- YES
Will Juan Pablo Ledezma be arrested in 2026?
5 shares @ 21.0¢·now 47.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$2.24
$1.24
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
22 shares @ 4.5¢·now 8.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.90
$0.90
- YES
Will Ricardo Ruiz Velasco be arrested in 2026?
3 shares @ 33.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$1.86
$0.86
- NO
Will the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?
15 shares @ 13.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jun 6, 2027$1.77
$-0.23
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
21 shares @ 9.5¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.76
$-0.24
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Baidu have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.04May 18, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.04May 18, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.03May 18, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.03May 18, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.04May 18, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.04May 18, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.04May 18, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYGoogle x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by June 30?$1.03May 18, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google (GOOGL) finish week of May 18 above $420?$1.00May 18, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google (GOOGL) finish week of May 18 above $370?$1.00May 18, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini score at least 60% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$1.04May 18, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$1.02May 18, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$1.03May 18, 02:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aaron Rai win the 2026 PGA Championship?$1.03May 18, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYClaudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?$1.04May 18, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYClaudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by June 30?$1.04May 18, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYSinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by May 31?$1.03May 18, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYSinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?$1.03May 18, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by June 30? $1.00May 18, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by May 31? $1.00May 18, 02:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $1.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 24, 22:56 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 02:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".