Expert-Butcher
0x1fea4066d9d8b199f806a28eab1803159d0f5685
Wallet digest
Activity score
96/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$1.6K
Total PnL
$198.87
Realised
$23.88
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
1234 shares @ 75.4¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$993.53
$62.96
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026?
181 shares @ 88.9¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$169.24
$8.40
- NO
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
136 shares @ 82.5¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$124.27
$12.19
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
108 shares @ 83.0¢·now 97.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$105.53
$15.79
- NO
Will Hong Kong have between 190-200mm of precipitation in May?
100 shares @ 25.0¢·now 72.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$72.00
$47.00
- YES
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
100 shares @ 48.9¢·now 48.8¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$48.75
$-0.15
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
54 shares @ 57.6¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$47.25
$16.15
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?
48 shares @ 79.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$40.07
$2.16
- NO
Will Hong Kong have less than 180mm of precipitation in May?
50 shares @ 35.0¢·now 56.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$28.00
$10.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 23°C or below on May 19?$3.3KMay 18, 02:40 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.11May 17, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$7.12May 16, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$12.40May 15, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$2.75May 15, 00:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 18°C on May 9?$500.00May 13, 09:54 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.66May 13, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$2.82May 12, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$12.17May 11, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$4.03May 9, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 18°C on May 9?$498.00May 8, 02:47 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$3.64May 8, 00:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 20°C on May 5?$100.00May 7, 02:17 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$14.76May 7, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.42May 6, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$1.58May 5, 00:35 UTC
- REDEEMHang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on May 1?$4.90May 4, 23:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hong Kong have between 140-150mm of precipitation in April?$28.15May 4, 08:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 10°C on April 28?$0.00May 4, 05:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on April 30?$0.00May 4, 05:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $272.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 28, 23:35 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 02:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".