Miserly-Verdict
0x1fed2ecea9ab3f7b9c0494d1767ea5a01110f6a5
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$4.50
Total PnL
$-663.05
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will BW Industrial Holdings’ market cap be between $140M and $155M at market close on IPO day?
91 shares @ 17.0¢·now 2.9¢·exp May 27, 2026$2.64
$-12.83
- YES
Will BW Industrial Holdings’ market cap be between $155M and $170M at market close on IPO day?
110 shares @ 14.0¢·now 1.3¢·exp May 27, 2026$1.38
$-14.07
- YES
Will BW Industrial Holdings’ market cap be between $125M and $140M at market close on IPO day?
65 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.8¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.48
$-15.03
- NO
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?
1302 shares @ 17.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-223.73
- YES
Will Rowenna Davis win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?
317 shares @ 65.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-207.80
- YES
Will Ricardo Belmont finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
200 shares @ 29.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-58.60
- YES
Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
100 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-77.00
- YES
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
100 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-54.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Finland win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$67.93May 16, 21:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?$210.00May 13, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$68.11May 13, 11:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Liberal Democrats win at least 900 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$600.00May 12, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?$3.40May 11, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?$21.08May 11, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?$170.00May 11, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?$9.52May 11, 12:26 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET$0.00May 6, 10:56 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET$4.94May 6, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET$5.15May 6, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET$5.34May 6, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET$5.18May 6, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Liberal Democrats win at least 900 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$501.39May 6, 10:49 UTC
- REDEEMQatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?$0.00May 6, 10:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?$199.99May 5, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYQatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?$13.79May 1, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?$28.11Apr 29, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?$43.26Apr 29, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?$6.77Apr 29, 19:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $62.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 22, 10:03 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 21:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".