Lively-Provider
0x1fee90f352fd362ea4bf13c6ed7cdd83a4d2ed5e
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$131.0K
Total PnL
$-4.4K
Realised
$10.8K
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
167011 shares @ 56.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$106.1K
$12.4K
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
16899 shares @ 77.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$16.1K
$3.1K
- NO
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
9982 shares @ 73.3¢·now 65.3¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$6.5K
$-788.61
- YES
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
2636 shares @ 40.7¢·now 51.4¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.4K
$283.60
- NO
First round outright winner in the LA Mayoral Election?
275 shares @ 82.5¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$257.10
$30.17
- YES
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?
11465 shares @ 6.1¢·now 2.1¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$235.02
$-466.76
- YES
Will Josh Turek be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Iowa?
219 shares @ 35.4¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$169.46
$91.93
- NO
Will Reilly Neill be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Montana?
850 shares @ 9.8¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$114.75
$30.94
- YES
Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
9824 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$68.77
$-618.89
- YES
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
8236 shares @ 9.3¢·now 0.6¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$49.42
$-719.30
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?$13.7KMay 16, 23:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?$22.8KMay 16, 23:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$5.9KMay 16, 05:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$32.8KMay 16, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYFirst round outright winner in the LA Mayoral Election?$228.51May 16, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reilly Neill be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Montana?$86.83May 16, 03:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Analilia Mejia win the NJ-11 Special Election by less than 20%Analilia Mejia$99.28May 15, 22:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Analilia Mejia win the NJ-11 Special Election by between 20% and 25%?$1.6KMay 15, 22:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Denise Powell be the Democratic nominee for NE-02?$15.7KMay 14, 10:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill John Cavanaugh be the Democratic nominee for NE-02?$17.4KMay 14, 10:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Cavanaugh be the Democratic nominee for NE-02?$2.4KMay 13, 03:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Denise Powell be the Democratic nominee for NE-02?$45.12May 13, 01:48 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$68.74May 13, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Denise Powell be the Democratic nominee for NE-02?$4.7KMay 12, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Denise Powell be the Democratic nominee for NE-02?$1.95May 12, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Denise Powell be the Democratic nominee for NE-02?$3.90May 12, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Denise Powell be the Democratic nominee for NE-02?$2.69May 12, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Denise Powell be the Democratic nominee for NE-02?$7.41May 12, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Denise Powell be the Democratic nominee for NE-02?$23.79May 12, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Denise Powell be the Democratic nominee for NE-02?$0.98May 12, 23:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $207.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 23:02 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 23:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".