Quizzical-Chard
0x2009a3d758cc74c1ab423e0f961d07c1439a903e
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$385.65
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?
480 shares @ 47.0¢·now 52.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$251.25
$25.46
- YES
Will Zendaya and Tom Holland get married by December 31?
100 shares @ 50.0¢·now 78.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$78.80
$28.80
- NO
Will AJ Brown be traded?
1100 shares @ 50.0¢·now 3.4¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$36.85
$-513.15
- YES
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
250 shares @ 12.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$18.75
$-11.25
- YES
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in less than 1 hour?
5565 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-352.14
- YES
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 1 hour and 15 minutes?
1681 shares @ 11.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
1079 shares @ 18.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will a contestant numbered 176 - 200 win Beast Games: Season 2?
996 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-61.44
- YES
Will Trump say "Six Seven" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
500 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Bernie's appearance at the Fighting Oligarchy rally not air?
424 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$98.05Mar 30, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$100.00Mar 30, 19:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "One Battle After Another" win exactly 6 awards at the Oscars?$348.46Mar 16, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$4.0KMar 16, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$14.34Mar 16, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$100.00Mar 16, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$14.88Mar 16, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$20.00Mar 16, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$40.61Mar 16, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$2.79Mar 16, 00:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$3.00Mar 16, 00:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$23.15Mar 16, 00:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$8.99Mar 16, 00:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.04Mar 16, 00:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$3.00Mar 16, 00:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$52.82Mar 16, 00:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.01Mar 16, 00:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$50.00Mar 16, 00:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.02Mar 16, 00:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$150.00Mar 16, 00:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $120.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 16, 00:06 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 30, 19:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".