Unnatural-Cephalopod
0x202b3056678783c0ad73cc20c837b360b994971a
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
106
Open notional
$31.8K
Total PnL
$-10.1K
Realised
$-1.2K
Win rate
56%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 106- YES
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
20535 shares @ 66.8¢·now 39.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$8.1K
$-5.6K
- NO
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
13750 shares @ 64.4¢·now 39.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$5.4K
$-3.4K
- NO
Will Jared Kushner enter Iran by June 30?
3019 shares @ 94.6¢·now 97.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.9K
$91.77
- NO
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
2663 shares @ 56.5¢·now 60.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.6K
$106.67
- NO
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
1653 shares @ 88.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.4K
$-16.53
- NO
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
1679 shares @ 65.8¢·now 73.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.2K
$129.54
- NO
Will Jay Collins be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
1194 shares @ 96.2¢·now 97.5¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$1.2K
$15.19
- NO
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?
894 shares @ 76.3¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$808.94
$127.24
- NO
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?
832 shares @ 85.2¢·now 85.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$707.29
$-1.88
- YES
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?
824 shares @ 81.3¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$696.28
$26.12
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$2.18May 18, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.18May 18, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$4.24May 17, 05:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$8.08May 17, 05:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$407.40May 17, 01:58 UTC
- YIELD$0.18May 17, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?$17.93May 16, 23:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?$68.86May 16, 23:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?$34.43May 16, 23:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?$13.09May 16, 23:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?$5.39May 16, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?$3.44May 16, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the NV-02 House seat?$16.74May 16, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) settle over $85 on the final trading day of June 2026?$18.60May 16, 03:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026?$48.25May 16, 03:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) settle over $85 on the final trading day of June 2026?$8.15May 16, 03:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026?$21.11May 16, 03:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) settle over $85 on the final trading day of June 2026?$2.25May 16, 03:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026?$6.87May 16, 03:58 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$4.30May 16, 00:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $53.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 05:08 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".