Burdensome-Labor
0x2038860bb8aa7037e7b2d323c15a6411ed0b6161
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
15
Open notional
$3.2K
Total PnL
$1.8K
Realised
$971.86
Win rate
78%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?
1038 shares @ 61.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Sep 6, 2026$970.43
$337.65
- YES
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
672 shares @ 27.7¢·now 86.0¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$577.84
$391.95
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
503 shares @ 86.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$440.40
$7.55
- NO
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?
300 shares @ 91.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$277.50
$4.50
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
3166 shares @ 4.1¢·now 8.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$270.69
$141.05
- NO
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
342 shares @ 75.6¢·now 75.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$258.76
$0.14
- NO
NATO dissolves before 2027?
100 shares @ 92.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$95.02
$2.99
- YES
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
252 shares @ 4.2¢·now 33.5¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$84.41
$73.91
- YES
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
290 shares @ 4.3¢·now 20.0¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$57.99
$45.50
- YES
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
413 shares @ 5.6¢·now 14.0¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$57.79
$34.78
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.06May 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 17, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$261.15May 16, 11:58 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?$251.02May 16, 11:38 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 10, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?$10.00May 9, 08:58 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 9, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 8, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 7, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?$9.01May 6, 10:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 6, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 5, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?$8.50May 4, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?$7.99May 4, 20:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $18.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 25, 11:32 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".