Hopeful-Spirituality
0x204b4cdc0bc88253c67abc858514ad2864666a5c
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$4.9K
Total PnL
$-580.48
Realised
$-1.1K
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?
4816 shares @ 14.9¢·now 25.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.2K
$486.62
- NO
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?
2027 shares @ 55.2¢·now 46.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$932.53
$-185.78
- NO
Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch?
1353 shares @ 55.4¢·now 57.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$770.92
$21.64
- YES
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
1700 shares @ 28.4¢·now 32.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$543.95
$61.22
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?
1610 shares @ 32.7¢·now 30.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$490.94
$-35.86
- NO
Will pump.fun buybacks hit $500M by December 31?
389 shares @ 42.4¢·now 67.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$260.47
$95.71
- YES
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027?
1660 shares @ 10.0¢·now 12.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$199.24
$33.21
- NO
Will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 20 Gwei before 2027?
228 shares @ 81.0¢·now 81.1¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$185.00
$0.26
- YES
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
1000 shares @ 16.5¢·now 14.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$140.00
$-25.00
- NO
Will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 40 Gwei before 2027?
128 shares @ 88.9¢·now 85.1¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$109.10
$-4.91
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYPredict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?$15.26May 18, 04:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYPredict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?$0.97May 18, 03:12 UTC
- REWARD$2.34May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYPredict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?$12.66May 17, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYPredict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?$2.90May 17, 13:06 UTC
- REWARD$1.51May 17, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYPuffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?$7.82May 16, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYPuffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?$3.91May 16, 02:53 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$4.63May 16, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYPuffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?$0.09May 15, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYPuffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?$8.21May 15, 22:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?$260.43May 15, 20:56 UTC
- TRADESELLInk FDV above $500M one day after launch?$1.2KMay 15, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYPredict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?$165.00May 15, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYPredict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?$96.68May 15, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYPredict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?$33.00May 15, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYPredict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?$14.30May 15, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYPredict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?$175.56May 15, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYPredict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?$10.46May 14, 13:05 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$4.32May 14, 00:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $59.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 22:35 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 04:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".