Official-Founding
0x204e91ffb7318a7886ef7a8e4d9e46801d10935e
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$258.10
Total PnL
$-17.97
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
260 shares @ 96.9¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$255.99
$4.03
- YES
Will Kylian Mbappé have the most goal contributions in the 2025-26 Champions League?
30 shares @ 70.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.11
$-18.89
- YES
Will Germany win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
500 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-3.11
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$251.96Apr 8, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappé have the most goal contributions in the 2025-26 Champions League?$0.04Feb 28, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappé have the most goal contributions in the 2025-26 Champions League?$4.76Feb 26, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappé have the most goal contributions in the 2025-26 Champions League?$2.21Feb 26, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappé have the most goal contributions in the 2025-26 Champions League?$4.27Feb 26, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappé have the most goal contributions in the 2025-26 Champions League?$7.00Feb 26, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappé have the most goal contributions in the 2025-26 Champions League?$2.72Feb 26, 10:02 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?$272.95Feb 23, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?$272.12Feb 23, 05:28 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?$256.13Feb 21, 13:21 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?$11.32Feb 21, 13:20 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?$4.68Feb 21, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?$271.86Feb 21, 12:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$1.67Feb 21, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$35.10Feb 16, 13:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$304.38Feb 16, 05:47 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?$0.00Feb 14, 09:33 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?$960.91Feb 14, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?$958.02Feb 14, 01:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$276.00Feb 14, 01:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $210.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 10, 03:38 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 8, 05:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".