Swift-Parable
0x207ca4de770e8195731fd09ff754f328df5452fa
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$498.08
Total PnL
$-584.40
Realised
$230.97
Win rate
85%
33 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?
929 shares @ 21.5¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$218.21
$18.21
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?
1110 shares @ 15.3¢·now 18.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$205.28
$35.29
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
51 shares @ 47.4¢·now 59.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$30.15
$6.15
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?
141 shares @ 42.7¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$19.04
$-41.16
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 18?
405 shares @ 3.7¢·now 3.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$14.16
$-0.84
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May?
1077 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$7.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?
77 shares @ 17.7¢·now 3.1¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$2.44
$-11.28
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 18?
100 shares @ 4.0¢·now 1.8¢·exp May 19, 2026$1.80
$-2.20
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
8054 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 18?$5.34May 18, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 18?$1.07May 18, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 18?$1.07May 18, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 18?$4.27May 18, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 18?$4.27May 18, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 18?$1.07May 18, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 18?$2.13May 18, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 18?$1.07May 18, 05:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 17?$0.85May 17, 23:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 17?$9.15May 17, 23:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 17?$0.30May 17, 23:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 17?$9.10May 17, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 17?$1.07May 17, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 17?$1.07May 17, 10:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 17?$0.67May 17, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 17?$1.07May 17, 10:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 17?$2.14May 17, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 17?$1.07May 17, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 17?$1.07May 17, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 16?$3.20May 16, 14:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $3.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 15:02 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 08:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 33 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".