Acidic-Disadvantage
0x20a383c8d28c2153227174a373b87dbd4a1429db
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
24
Open notional
$539.50
Total PnL
$-2.9K
Realised
$-22.74
Win rate
38%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
29273 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$131.73
$-314.28
- YES
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
37267 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$93.17
$-115.75
- YES
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
29368 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$73.42
$-88.78
- YES
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
15553 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$69.99
$16.13
- YES
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
5062 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$45.56
$-51.78
- YES
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
6797 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$30.59
$-12.28
- YES
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
7220 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$25.27
$-25.27
- YES
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
4288 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$23.58
$-19.16
- YES
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≤1.0% at the end of 2026?
3724 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$13.04
$-53.36
- YES
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026?
3439 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$12.04
$-14.67
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026?$0.08May 13, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026?$0.45May 13, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026?$0.20May 13, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026?$0.21May 13, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026?$0.02May 12, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026?$0.03May 12, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026?$0.15May 12, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026?$0.12May 12, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026?$0.17May 12, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026?$0.02May 8, 17:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≤1.0% at the end of 2026?$2.21May 6, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026?$0.02May 1, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026?$0.04May 1, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026?$0.02May 1, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026?$0.12Apr 30, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026?$0.20Apr 30, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026?$0.08Apr 30, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026?$0.08Apr 30, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026?$0.00Apr 29, 03:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$1.77Apr 29, 03:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 19, 16:20 UTC
- Last active
- May 13, 09:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".