0x20a7404eb0422cac1e7d481548fe62bf61c3d961
0x20a7404eb0422cac1e7d481548fe62bf61c3d961
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
46
Open notional
$635.05
Total PnL
$-264.35
Realised
$1.80
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- YES
Will the Republicans win the Wyoming Senate race in 2026?
200 shares @ 92.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$189.00
$5.00
- NO
Will Hillary Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
180 shares @ 95.0¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$177.57
$6.57
- NO
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?
57 shares @ 90.0¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$56.29
$4.99
- NO
Will Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2026?
57 shares @ 89.9¢·now 97.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$55.66
$4.42
- NO
XRP all time high by September 30, 2026?
57 shares @ 89.0¢·now 97.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2026$55.26
$4.53
- NO
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?
59 shares @ 86.0¢·now 91.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$53.69
$2.95
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
33 shares @ 91.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$28.88
$-1.16
- YES
Will Greece advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
14 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$14.00
$0.84
- NO
Will Silver (SI) settle at $80-$90 in June?
6 shares @ 93.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.71
$-0.87
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 42-43°F on February 11?
182 shares @ 95.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-173.19
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$20.00May 4, 13:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$35.00May 4, 13:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fredrick Love win the 2026 Arkansas Governor Democratic primary election?$53.00May 4, 13:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$0.00May 4, 13:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$0.00May 4, 13:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fredrick Love win the 2026 Arkansas Governor Democratic primary election?$0.00May 4, 13:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill MicroStrategy announce holding 800k+ BTC by May 31, 2026?$465.01May 4, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MicroStrategy announce holding 800k+ BTC by May 31, 2026?$26.60Apr 19, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MicroStrategy announce holding 800k+ BTC by May 31, 2026?$18.92Apr 19, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MicroStrategy announce holding 800k+ BTC by May 31, 2026?$405.46Apr 14, 23:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$0.00Apr 14, 22:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fredrick Love win the 2026 Arkansas Governor Democratic primary election?$0.00Apr 14, 22:54 UTC
- REDEEMBill Clinton charged by March 31?$200.00Apr 14, 22:54 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$0.00Apr 14, 22:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$35.00Apr 14, 22:53 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by December 31?$560.00Apr 14, 22:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?$8.18Mar 30, 16:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?$0.55Mar 30, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by December 31?$428.41Mar 23, 21:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$0.00Mar 23, 20:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $77.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 28, 18:04 UTC
- Last active
- May 4, 13:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".