Defenseless-Diarist
0x20d919b88e1cede2093f6a9cfc94734c2ad95490
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
6
Open notional
$2.6K
Total PnL
$348.24
Realised
$92.96
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?
1823 shares @ 63.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.4K
$209.79
- YES
US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?
1410 shares @ 71.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.0K
$34.43
- YES
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?
1000 shares @ 14.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$105.00
$-35.00
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?
7531 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$64.01
$44.21
- YES
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?
117 shares @ 33.9¢·now 52.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$61.64
$21.82
- YES
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 15?
2428 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-19.98
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump announce a US-China Board of Trade?$574.00May 18, 07:13 UTC
- REWARD$5.18May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 24?$4.86May 17, 20:19 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 24?$1.2KMay 17, 20:18 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 24?$5.7KMay 17, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 24?$3.3KMay 17, 18:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?$68.46May 17, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 24?$1.5KMay 17, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 24?$2.1KMay 17, 18:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?$48.28May 17, 17:53 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 31?$4.2KMay 17, 17:43 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 24?$2.2KMay 17, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?$123.95May 17, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce a US-China Board of Trade?$198.49May 17, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce a US-China Board of Trade?$216.88May 17, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?$1.0KMay 17, 12:17 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$21.65May 16, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?$73.14May 15, 22:39 UTC
- TRADESELLJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?$1.4KMay 15, 22:39 UTC
- TRADESELLJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?$378.74May 15, 22:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $643.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 09:35 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 07:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".