Muffled-Backup
0x20e6e192cc7d036e25136bb535e10aad89af95c4
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$425.54
Total PnL
$-5.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Megaquake by June 30?
3700 shares @ 19.4¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$425.54
$-293.02
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
20000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Megaquake before August?
20000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?
13000 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- YES
Megaquake by December 31?
9743 shares @ 8.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-786.26
- YES
Megaquake by January 31?
9669 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-726.57
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
3800 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-102.60
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
2000 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-560.00
- YES
Will KT Rolster win LoL Worlds 2025?
2000 shares @ 47.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 9, 2025$0.00
$-953.04
- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?
1429 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMegaquake by June 30?$170.75May 17, 06:49 UTC
- REWARD$1.42Apr 22, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaquake by June 30?$107.73Apr 21, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaquake by June 30?$46.90Apr 21, 06:52 UTC
- REWARD$1.13Apr 21, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaquake by June 30?$1.15Apr 20, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaquake by June 30?$23.00Apr 20, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?$210.00Apr 14, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaquake by June 30?$166.15Apr 8, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaquake by June 30?$210.00Mar 19, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C or higher on March 13?$0.65Mar 12, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C or higher on March 13?$0.42Mar 12, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C or higher on March 13?$4.56Mar 12, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C or higher on March 13?$1.06Mar 12, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C or higher on March 13?$0.90Mar 12, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C or higher on March 13?$1.67Mar 12, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C or higher on March 13?$0.37Mar 12, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C or higher on March 13?$0.91Mar 12, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C or higher on March 13?$2.03Mar 12, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C or higher on March 13?$1.52Mar 12, 19:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $20.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 12, 18:26 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 06:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".