0x20f97f092e09677a679f5025ce10636022554cdb
0x20f97f092e09677a679f5025ce10636022554cdb
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
46
Open notional
$99.03
Total PnL
$-31.8K
Realised
$15.5K
Win rate
33%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- YES
Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?
3214 shares @ 14.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$68.79
$-381.21
- YES
Will Donald Trump enter Iran by June 30?
6048 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$30.24
$-469.75
- YES
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by August 31?
91529 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.1K
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
52197 shares @ 8.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.6K
- YES
Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?
40000 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-590.00
- YES
Will Solana reach $250 in July?
39869 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.5K
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
37365 shares @ 16.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.3K
- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
36418 shares @ 8.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.2K
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
34629 shares @ 20.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-7.1K
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 15?
26966 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-669.97
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$1.9KMar 4, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$760.00Mar 3, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$2.15Mar 2, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$182.82Mar 2, 23:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?$400.00Mar 2, 23:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$500.00Mar 2, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$1.9KMar 2, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$1.0KMar 2, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?$450.00Mar 2, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump enter Iran by June 30?$500.00Mar 2, 22:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?$6.77Mar 2, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?$20.00Mar 2, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?$15.00Mar 2, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?$867.93Mar 2, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?$1.8KMar 2, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?$7.01Mar 2, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?$0.05Mar 2, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?$0.05Mar 2, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?$1.80Mar 2, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?$0.07Mar 2, 14:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $272.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 25, 13:28 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 4, 14:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".