Timely-Noun
0x2103bbb5f9fba62d88eb039ab0d4a981b194e296
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$4.2K
Total PnL
$1.1K
Realised
$-38.12
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- OVER
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5
688 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$688.00
$344.00
- NO
Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in April?
641 shares @ 54.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$641.00
$289.73
- SAN DIEGO TOREROS
San Diego Toreros vs. Pepperdine Waves
632 shares @ 11.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$632.00
$562.48
- NO
Will New England Revolution win on 2026-03-07?
1069 shares @ 80.0¢·now 54.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$577.26
$-277.94
- MICHIGAN STATE SPARTANS
Michigan State Spartans vs. Temple Owls
1000 shares @ 12.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$500.00
$380.00
- YES
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?
402 shares @ 61.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$401.72
$155.87
- NO
Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win 110 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
316 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$315.84
$0.16
- YES
Will Trump say "Dark cloud" this week? (March 29)
211 shares @ 44.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$211.00
$118.16
- NO
Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?
272 shares @ 56.0¢·now 70.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$190.40
$38.08
- YES
Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in March?
22 shares @ 20.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$22.22
$17.78
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?$152.32Apr 24, 03:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in April?$351.27Apr 23, 09:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$5.40Apr 11, 10:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$59.10Apr 11, 10:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?$65.24Apr 11, 08:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?$7.56Apr 11, 08:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$365.02Apr 11, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$390.93Apr 11, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New England Revolution win on 2026-03-07?$855.20Apr 11, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$64.50Apr 11, 00:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Seoul have between 50-55mm of precipitation in April?$18.50Apr 10, 00:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX raise between $80B and $90B in its IPO?$187.34Apr 9, 13:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX raise between $80B and $90B in its IPO?$88.45Apr 9, 13:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?$127.02Apr 9, 12:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?$700.35Apr 9, 12:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?$96.90Apr 9, 11:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?$93.00Apr 9, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYManchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5$116.50Apr 9, 04:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYManchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5$121.50Apr 9, 04:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYManchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5$106.00Apr 9, 04:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $240.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 25, 04:14 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 24, 03:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".