0x2134418d574d08a1d46c6c057570fde57d820734
0x2134418d574d08a1d46c6c057570fde57d820734
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$178.66
Total PnL
$-587.06
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
517 shares @ 10.8¢·now 18.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$94.31
$38.20
- YES
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
50 shares @ 61.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$30.75
$0.25
- YES
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
25 shares @ 53.0¢·now 85.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$21.25
$8.00
- NO
Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?
30 shares @ 44.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$10.05
$-3.15
- YES
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
430 shares @ 1.4¢·now 1.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$6.24
$0.21
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
140 shares @ 15.0¢·now 3.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.69
$-16.31
- YES
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
70 shares @ 26.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.55
$-13.65
- YES
Will Tyler1 shave his head by June 1, 2026?
20 shares @ 39.0¢·now 22.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$4.40
$-3.40
- YES
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
50 shares @ 3.9¢·now 4.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.42
$0.47
- MANCHESTER CITY FC
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)
421 shares @ 69.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-292.49
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMChelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score$11.63May 17, 16:13 UTC
- REDEEMChelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 10.5 Total Corners$11.76May 17, 16:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?$111.11May 17, 16:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYChelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 10.5 Total Corners$6.09May 16, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYChelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score$3.05May 16, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYChelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Score$2.03May 16, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?$60.83May 16, 13:39 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$80.00May 16, 13:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-22?$109.54May 16, 13:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 10, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 9, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 8, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $46.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 22, 13:43 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".