Lustrous-Parchment
0x2136af6ba9332e2947d5c477aa8ab807f64cee56
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
7
Open notional
$22.8K
Total PnL
$1.4K
Realised
$311.51
Win rate
100%
5 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
10386 shares @ 96.8¢·now 98.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$10.3K
$210.65
- NO
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
8415 shares @ 79.1¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.4K
$788.88
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
3700 shares @ 95.0¢·now 95.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.5K
$5.55
- NO
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
1081 shares @ 86.3¢·now 90.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$973.13
$40.24
- NO
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
474 shares @ 82.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$390.78
$2.37
- NO
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
271 shares @ 84.6¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$239.99
$10.46
- NO
Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
11 shares @ 89.1¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.93
$-0.07
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?$1.10May 18, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$14.96May 18, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$120.93May 18, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?$328.00May 17, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?$59.31May 17, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$26.70May 17, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$746.73May 17, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027?$10.00May 17, 11:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Italy win Eurovision 2026?$1.5KMay 17, 07:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sweden win Eurovision 2026?$1.5KMay 17, 07:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Romania win Eurovision 2026?$2.0KMay 17, 07:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$25.3KMay 17, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$3.8KMay 16, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romania win Eurovision 2026?$2.0KMay 16, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy win Eurovision 2026?$1.5KMay 16, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win Eurovision 2026?$1.5KMay 16, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$3.5KMay 16, 17:59 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by May 15?$12.3KMay 16, 09:33 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$14.2KMay 16, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 15?$2.0KMay 15, 21:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $910.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 12:42 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 08:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".