Burdensome-Armadillo
0x21405be22aa7fc6983d91113b79d94cd73c35790
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
57
Open notional
$13.7K
Total PnL
$-13.8K
Realised
$-24.04
Win rate
71%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 57- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
2363 shares @ 68.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.3K
$649.95
- NO
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
3077 shares @ 52.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$2.0K
$353.85
- NO
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?
1428 shares @ 16.0¢·now 86.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.2K
$999.77
- YES
Will Ro Khanna advance from the CA-17 primary?
1025 shares @ 91.8¢·now 96.5¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$988.89
$47.97
- NO
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
1294 shares @ 39.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$976.74
$472.20
- NO
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1295 shares @ 71.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$886.12
$-32.79
- NO
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
5425 shares @ 33.1¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$786.57
$-1.0K
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
937 shares @ 69.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$773.09
$126.51
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
1548 shares @ 51.7¢·now 43.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$673.20
$-126.80
- NO
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
606 shares @ 77.0¢·now 95.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$580.95
$113.95
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.05May 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 10, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 9, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 8, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 7, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 6, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 5, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 4, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 3, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 2, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 1, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Apr 30, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Apr 29, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $73.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 14, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".