Large-Spirit
0x217eac421dd9d7154646ac7e0d93a73f47f13a4c
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$23.3K
Total PnL
$1.1K
Realised
$182.92
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
13500 shares @ 91.9¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$13.4K
$1.0K
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?
4569 shares @ 89.1¢·now 97.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$4.4K
$374.21
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
2500 shares @ 81.7¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.2K
$145.84
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
2000 shares @ 96.2¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.0K
$37.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
828 shares @ 95.2¢·now 97.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$808.54
$20.17
- YES
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
20806 shares @ 0.8¢·now 2.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$445.24
$274.26
- YES
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
1734 shares @ 19.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-338.57
- MICHIGAN WOLVERINES
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-6.5)
1000 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-510.00
- IOWA STATE CYCLONES
Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-3.5)
200 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-94.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.14May 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.14May 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.14May 16, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?$905.36May 15, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?$2.0KMay 15, 18:41 UTC
- YIELD$0.14May 15, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.14May 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.14May 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.14May 12, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.15May 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.15May 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.14May 9, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.15May 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.15May 7, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.14May 6, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.14May 5, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 4, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMConnecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines$2.0KMay 3, 19:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 3, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 2, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 4
- Avg trade size
- $1.2K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 5, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".