Variable-Grove
0x21a44a3a3b1c50752c12278ae00ccb030248d720
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$97.82
Total PnL
$-76.63
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?
368 shares @ 34.0¢·now 23.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2027$84.54
$-40.46
- YES
Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
718 shares @ 4.2¢·now 1.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.28
$-16.72
- YES
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-04-22?
216 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-19.45
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Burnley FC win on 2026-04-22?$20.00Apr 17, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?$125.00Mar 23, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?$30.00Mar 23, 23:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 3
- Avg trade size
- $58.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 23, 23:08 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 17, 07:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".