Sparse-Servant
0x21bac188598c79a827cd54c2db710775a49f408f
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$4.5K
Total PnL
$878.73
Realised
$-141.58
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?
3000 shares @ 82.8¢·now 99.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.0K
$483.22
- YES
Will there be at least 1950 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?
779 shares @ 14.4¢·now 68.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$533.33
$420.90
- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
400 shares @ 77.0¢·now 81.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$324.00
$16.00
- YES
Will there be at least 1925 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?
300 shares @ 45.0¢·now 96.6¢·exp May 31, 2026$289.80
$154.86
- YES
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?
1173 shares @ 4.6¢·now 14.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$164.77
$110.95
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
150 shares @ 57.8¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$128.25
$41.63
- YES
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in May 2026?
100 shares @ 21.0¢·now 59.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$59.00
$38.00
- YES
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in May 2026?
100 shares @ 14.9¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$16.00
$1.11
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
10 shares @ 94.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$9.99
$0.54
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
10 shares @ 90.0¢·now 95.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$9.52
$0.52
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?$213.44May 17, 16:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 05:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$10.0KMay 16, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$152.39May 16, 22:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$5.99May 16, 21:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$76.81May 16, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$59.22May 16, 18:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$31.90May 16, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win Eurovision 2026?$4.72May 16, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1925 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$76.93May 15, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1925 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$3.07May 15, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$270.00May 15, 04:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$443.51May 14, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$31.45May 13, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1950 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$31.39May 13, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1925 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$27.92May 13, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$308.00May 13, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1925 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$29.01May 12, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$87.59May 12, 05:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $323.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 27, 15:54 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 16:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".