Alive-Activist
0x21cc8f585ff7fd6ebcfd62c81235ec9b9d35c412
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$284.80
Total PnL
$0.11
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
273 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$272.86
$0.14
- NO
Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election?
7 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$6.96
$-0.02
- NO
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026?
5 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.6¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$4.98
$-0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$272.74May 6, 14:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $130 in April?$5.70May 6, 13:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP dip to $0.20 in April?$301.93May 6, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $130 in April?$5.69Apr 28, 10:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026?$4.99Apr 13, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election?$6.98Apr 13, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $0.20 in April?$301.09Apr 3, 15:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?$3.04Apr 3, 15:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$5.06Apr 3, 15:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $200 in March?$288.58Apr 3, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$5.00Mar 22, 11:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$7.01Mar 22, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$7.00Mar 10, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $200 in March?$288.00Mar 10, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?$3.00Mar 10, 06:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pheu Thai Party (PT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?$2.07Mar 10, 06:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump talk to Ali Khamenei in February?$3.07Mar 10, 06:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$304.30Mar 10, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pheu Thai Party (PT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?$2.00Feb 3, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Ali Khamenei in February?$3.00Feb 3, 06:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $171.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 24, 09:05 UTC
- Last active
- May 6, 14:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".