Anxious-Thirst
0x21dc5ff9a58b08e062f73408b79e88dde2dded25
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$123.74
Total PnL
$-252.57
Realised
$-157.32
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
526 shares @ 19.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$65.79
$-34.21
- YES
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?
773 shares @ 12.9¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$57.96
$-42.05
- YES
Trump out as President by March 31?
917 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
444 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYLai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?$100.00Mar 19, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?$4.00Mar 19, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$100.00Mar 19, 01:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$0.00Mar 19, 01:16 UTC
- TRADESELLZhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?$61.65Mar 19, 01:15 UTC
- TRADESELLLai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?$142.68Mar 19, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by March 31?$5.00Mar 18, 01:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill UK strike Iran by March 31?$130.81Mar 18, 01:42 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by March 2?$100.70Mar 3, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$100.00Mar 2, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYLai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?$200.00Mar 2, 04:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by March 31?$10.00Mar 2, 04:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UK strike Iran by March 31?$100.00Mar 2, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYZhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?$100.00Mar 2, 03:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYLai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?$100.00Mar 2, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 2?$100.00Mar 2, 03:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $89.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 2, 03:06 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 19, 01:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".