Harmonious-Carbohydrate
0x21f1f75353e8330646967bb09574f10a65dc961f
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$530.58
Total PnL
$20.82
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
260 shares @ 3.1¢·now 68.6¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$178.05
$170.05
- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
1016 shares @ 16.7¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$96.55
$-73.45
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
79 shares @ 39.2¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$49.95
$19.12
- YES
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
143 shares @ 49.7¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$30.70
$-40.30
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
36 shares @ 14.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$30.18
$25.18
- YES
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
27 shares @ 37.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$27.03
$17.03
- YES
Trump declares election interference national emergency?
71 shares @ 21.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.64
$4.64
- YES
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
24 shares @ 41.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$14.27
$4.27
- YES
Trump out as President by June 30?
1053 shares @ 6.0¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$14.21
$-48.95
- YES
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?
43 shares @ 47.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.83
$-6.17
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before 2027?$5.00May 1, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by May 31?$1.00May 1, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before 2027?$5.00May 1, 14:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Governor" during April press conference?$11.11May 1, 14:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "War" during April press conference?$0.00May 1, 14:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin outperform Silver in April 2026?$0.00May 1, 14:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "Simulation" during April press conference?$0.00May 1, 14:06 UTC
- REDEEMAnother US Joint Chiefs of Staff member out by April 30?$0.00May 1, 14:06 UTC
- REDEEMIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?$0.00May 1, 14:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the April Meeting?$0.00May 1, 14:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?$0.00May 1, 14:06 UTC
- REDEEMTrump out as President by April 30?$0.00May 1, 14:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$0.00May 1, 14:06 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 15?$0.00Apr 24, 10:49 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 15?$0.00Apr 24, 10:49 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces Attorney General pick by April 17, 2026?$0.00Apr 24, 10:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump post "Make Iran Great Again" or "MIGA" on Truth Social this week?$0.00Apr 24, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$10.83Apr 24, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before 2027?$10.00Apr 24, 10:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 14, 2026?$1.27Apr 24, 10:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $13.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 12, 20:23 UTC
- Last active
- May 1, 14:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".