Capital-Contributor
0x21fe77f7c7861c5f0a70a26ae86dfbaf1c5eda90
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
46
Open notional
$10.2K
Total PnL
$1.6K
Realised
$446.92
Win rate
89%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- NO
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?
1232 shares @ 75.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.1K
$222.24
- NO
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1300 shares @ 45.6¢·now 63.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$828.74
$235.75
- YES
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?
862 shares @ 91.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$754.65
$-30.19
- NO
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?
843 shares @ 82.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$737.62
$46.36
- NO
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027?
700 shares @ 80.7¢·now 94.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$659.40
$94.40
- NO
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?
524 shares @ 97.9¢·now 98.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$515.01
$2.36
- NO
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?
574 shares @ 74.7¢·now 87.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$499.09
$70.34
- YES
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
30000 shares @ 1.6¢·now 1.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$495.00
$8.34
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?
500 shares @ 91.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$472.49
$17.50
- YES
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
50000 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$425.00
$115.35
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.23May 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.23May 17, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?$0.00May 16, 23:43 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$1.00May 16, 23:42 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$3.24May 16, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.21May 16, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?$286.72May 15, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?$4.60May 15, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?$10.21May 15, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?$10.92May 15, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?$27.30May 15, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?$115.25May 15, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$2.42May 15, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$102.56May 15, 10:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$133.44May 15, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49.58May 15, 09:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.19May 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.19May 14, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out before 2027?$9.29May 13, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026?$512.65May 13, 06:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $100.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 22, 03:36 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".