Known-Use
0x21ffd2b7a212a6f277ed3eca1a9f8efcbca90d71
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$49.0K
Total PnL
$26.9K
Realised
$33.3K
Win rate
80%
168 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
3341 shares @ 84.1¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$2.7K
$-154.96
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
3484 shares @ 72.1¢·now 69.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.4K
$-89.67
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
2138 shares @ 87.1¢·now 87.5¢·exp May 21, 2026$1.9K
$8.26
- NO
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?
1623 shares @ 97.5¢·now 95.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.6K
$-27.95
- NO
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
3016 shares @ 65.6¢·now 48.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.5K
$-515.88
- NO
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
2429 shares @ 58.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.3K
$-61.53
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
1921 shares @ 74.6¢·now 69.5¢·exp May 24, 2026$1.3K
$-98.85
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
2095 shares @ 63.7¢·now 58.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.2K
$-110.08
- NO
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
1097 shares @ 96.7¢·now 95.8¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$1.1K
$-9.38
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?
1044 shares @ 97.4¢·now 97.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.0K
$-1.05
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$8.37May 18, 04:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?$17.29May 18, 04:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mark Lamb be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?$0.03May 18, 04:02 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 24?$140.07May 18, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $68 in May?$72.00May 18, 04:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 19?$21.00May 18, 04:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mark Lamb be the Republican nominee for AZ-05?$5.00May 18, 04:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 18?$5.00May 18, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 21?$170.09May 18, 04:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China announce a U.S. oil purchase by May 22?$2.08May 18, 03:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China announce a U.S. oil purchase by May 22?$0.81May 18, 03:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?$17.29May 18, 03:59 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 24?$8.99May 18, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 31 2026?$101.15May 18, 03:57 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 24?$1.01May 18, 03:57 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 24?$11.04May 18, 03:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 18?$4.75May 18, 03:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get 48 million or more views on day 2?$10.73May 18, 03:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$10.65May 18, 03:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gauthier Hein be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?$2.02May 18, 03:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $46.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 03:38 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 04:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 168 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".